_
The St. Louis Rams finished this season with the worst record in franchise history after going 2-14, one year after finishing 3-13. Clearly they didn’t learn any lessons.
For the second year in a row, the Rams will pick second in the NFL draft and are the only thing keeping Seattle from the basement in the NFC West. Whether they will maintain that level of incompetence into next season will depend on how effective their new staff is.
With a staggering 27 losses in two seasons, the Rams began this offseason by completely re-hauling their front office and coaching staff. They began by hiring former Giants defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo as head coach.
Teams have proven many times in the last several years that anyone can go from worst to first in the salary cap era of the NFL. The Miami Dolphins showed it most recently, and the Rams themselves showed it most famously, going from 4-12 in 1998 to Super Bowl champions in 1999.
The Rams have reason for optimism. They have a talented new coach and several young, promising players already on the roster.
To continue...
Coaching Staff
The hiring of Spagnuolo this offseason signals an important change for the Rams organization. For almost 10 years, the team has been identified by one characteristic: passing. Well, it may finally be time to say goodbye to “The Greatest Show on Turf.”
Spagnuolo is a defensive coach, and like most defensive coaches, he’s going to want a ground-based ball control offense.
An even bigger nail in the coffin of their former offensive glory comes in the form of new offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur. The nephew of Mike Holmgren’s old defensive coordinator with the Packers, Fritz Shurmur, Pat will bring the West Coast offense to St. Louis.
Shurmur spent 10 seasons as a coach with the Philadelphia Eagles, most recently as quarterback coach. While Andy Reid is well known for his liberal use of the pass, it is more likely Shurmur ends up more like fellow Reid disciple, Brad Childress, and relies much more on the run.
As for defense, we are all well aware of what Spagnuolo brings to the table. He spent years under Eagles defensive coordinator Jim Johnson, and in the past two seasons, he has brought the same philosophy to the Giants: bring the heat.
While it’s impossible to know how effective this new Rams coaching staff will be, one thing is for certain, it will be a whole new team the Seahawks will be facing on Sundays.
One good thing about them using the West Coast offense will be that our defense will be ready for them. It’s doubtful they’ll be able to execute it as well on us, and the Sea-fence will have plenty of experience facing a superior version every day in practice.
Roster
If the front office is doing their jobs correctly, then come the opening of the 2009 season, the Rams roster will look dramatically different than it does now. In 2008-09, the Rams finished 30th in the league in points scored and 31st in points allowed. Needless to say, Spagnuolo has a lot of work ahead of him.
However, there does exist plenty of young talent already on the Rams roster, especially on the defensive side. The keepers for St. Louis include defensive end Chris Long, defensive tackle Adam Carriker, cornerbacks Tye Hill and Ronald Bartell, and safety OJ Otogwe. They will all have a chance to thrive in the new system.
Long and Carriker were the Rams’ top draft picks these past two years. While they haven’t lived up to their top billing, they each have shown flashes of talent. Both players are big, strong and play with a great deal of tenacity. They could be the cornerstones for a defensive line Spagnuolo no doubt hopes reaches the same level as the ones he coached in New York.
The downside for the new system is it may make the defense’s best player no longer viable at his position. At 235 pounds (probably generous), Pisa Tinoisamoa may be too light to play outside linebacker in Spagnuolo’s system, which tasks the position with a liberal amount of blitzing.
Despite this youth, the Rams roster is filled with old, past their prime players that need to be trimmed. Here’s the list of starters older than 30:
S Corey Chavous, LB Chris Draft, DE Leonard Little, DT La’Roi Glover, T Orlando Pace, WR Tory Holt, WR Drew Bennett, QB Marc Bulger, CB Fakhir Brown
That’s almost half their starting defense.
Offensively, the team is built around Steven Jackson, who is still only 25 and one of the most talented running backs in the league. Unfortunately, he also has one of the least talented offensive lines blocking for him. That’s unlikely to change.
At quarterback, Marc Bulger seems to be at the end of the line for his career. He never had a particularly strong arm, and injuries seem to have downgraded his arm even further. However, the same was said of Miami’s Chad Pennington before this season. Bulger remains a smart, accurate quarterback, and the shift to a West Coast offense may be just what he needs to get his career back on track.
Ultimately, what will probably prevent the Rams from a 1999-style turnaround is their lack of strength on both sides of the line. Carriker and Long, talented as they are, are not the talented pass rushers Spagnuolo needs on defense (4 sacks combined in 2008). On offense, the line has a long way to go before the Rams are ready to play smash-mouth football, and their passing game will at best be satisfactory.
The Draft
Unless they trade down, the Rams seem most likely to address the offensive line. They may go for Michael Crabtree, but Donnie Avery had a successful rookie season. Considering the need to get younger, the front office will likely try very hard to move down and accumulate more draft picks. However, it’s tough to find a team willing to move all the way to the second pick.
Unless a team is desperate to get one of the top two quarterbacks (yeah right), the Rams will probably stay pat. Almost every mock draft has them going for Alabama tackle Andre Smith due to his superior run-blocking skills. But you never know.
Though this may work against the desires of most Hawk fans who want Crabtree in the draft, should the Rams take him, it could signal continued futility for the Rams in much the same manner drafting receivers high did for the Detroit Lions. If they fail to address the lines then they may be looking at a third-straight season with double-digit losses.
It will be interesting to see how the Rams build their team this offseason. Should they focus on rebuilding the offensive and defensive lines, they have enough talent at the skill positions that they could actually compete next season. But it’s going to take an almost complete roster overhaul.
Read more